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Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 08:07 AM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
What's your winter forecast?

What's your winter forecast?
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 2 Dec 20, 01:37 PM
Replies: 93
Views: 7,047
Posted By Pinchy
I'll be able to hear it being flown in. Dec 2/3...

I'll be able to hear it being flown in. Dec 2/3 at my hospital.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 2 Dec 20, 11:55 AM
Replies: 93
Views: 7,047
Posted By Pinchy
Beat me to it. Too obvious I suppose. :grin:

Beat me to it. Too obvious I suppose. :grin:
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 2 Dec 20, 11:54 AM
Replies: 93
Views: 7,047
Posted By Pinchy
Oh go on, let him have it. Just a little...

Oh go on, let him have it.

Just a little prick.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 2 Dec 20, 10:50 AM
Replies: 163
Views: 9,735
Posted By Pinchy
The US have been expecting approval in the first...

The US have been expecting approval in the first half of December. Both have been getting the data from the trials. I expect US approval to happen very soon.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 2 Dec 20, 09:42 AM
Replies: 93
Views: 7,047
Posted By Pinchy
We already vaccinate over 40,000 a day for flu at...

We already vaccinate over 40,000 a day for flu at peak times.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 1 Dec 20, 09:48 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
291 votes to 78 for the new tiers. Not that...

291 votes to 78 for the new tiers.

Not that they had any more time to faff about.

Let's hope that gets cases down to a low enough level to avoid the terrible twosome of Christmas and winter...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 05:57 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 1,458
Posted By Pinchy
This is going to give the Scotch egg people a...

This is going to give the Scotch egg people a sales boost because I haven't thought about them for years and now I can't think of anything else.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 05:20 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
12,330 cases and 205 deaths today.

12,330 cases and 205 deaths today.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 03:15 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
Not really. They have to be seen to be making a...

Not really. They have to be seen to be making a stand but the majority aren't so stupid that they are going to risk topping the country.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 01:59 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 1,458
Posted By Pinchy
I'm not familiar with that method. I've been...

I'm not familiar with that method. I've been using small cows really close to determine the size of things since the 90's. My fault for not keeping up with the science I suppose.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 01:42 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 1,458
Posted By Pinchy
The Father Ted effect.

The Father Ted effect.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 01:17 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
Given our current abilities at t&t, to wander...

Given our current abilities at t&t, to wander into winter with anything other than a baseline of cases would be highly irresponsible.

I don't understand why the government were so quick to offer...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 01:05 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 3,662
Posted By Pinchy
Local businesses would stand a much better chance...

Local businesses would stand a much better chance of survival without prolonged periods of harsh restrictions but that is the way we have now chosen to go.

Frustrating, tragic.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 12:38 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 2,575
Posted By Pinchy
Yes, a fair idea.

Yes, a fair idea.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 12:33 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 2,575
Posted By Pinchy
This virus is new and so we don't know how many...

This virus is new and so we don't know how many are likely to exceed the "infectious period". We do have good data about false positives.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 30 Nov 20, 11:30 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 2,575
Posted By Pinchy
If false positives were a signficant issue we...

If false positives were a signficant issue we would never have reached the baseline in the summer.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 28 Nov 20, 04:52 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 3,638
Posted By Pinchy
Dorset is going to be tier 2. We never had it...

Dorset is going to be tier 2. We never had it anywhere near bad enough for 3 and never moved out of 1.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 27 Nov 20, 09:14 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 4,431
Posted By Pinchy
Everyone knows mixing people over Christmas is a...

Everyone knows mixing people over Christmas is a deeply stupid idea so I guess any mitigation is better than none.

Granny rolls a 6 and goes straight to the graveyard.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 27 Nov 20, 09:04 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 2,826
Posted By Pinchy
My OH is an NHS consultant and they have been...

My OH is an NHS consultant and they have been told to expect it Dec 2/3.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 27 Nov 20, 06:55 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,048
Posted By Pinchy
School kids will be paying for all this. Might as...

School kids will be paying for all this. Might as well make some effort to give them a full education.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 27 Nov 20, 04:53 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
R number is now below 1. ...

R number is now below 1.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55105285
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 27 Nov 20, 03:55 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,048
Posted By Pinchy
The science is fine. The timing was wrong. ...

The science is fine. The timing was wrong.
Again.

Yawn.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 26 Nov 20, 05:38 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
17,555 cases and 498 deaths today. Going the...

17,555 cases and 498 deaths today. Going the right way.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 26 Nov 20, 05:34 PM
Replies: 234
Poll: Vaccine poll
Views: 16,738
Posted By Pinchy
Sky news suggesting this may require trials to be...

Sky news suggesting this may require trials to be re-run. I only caught the end of the piece.
Forum: General Chat 21 Nov 20, 10:54 PM
Replies: 158
Views: 4,474
Posted By Pinchy
A Tesla

A Tesla
Forum: TV and Film 21 Nov 20, 10:53 PM
Replies: 64
Views: 1,273
Posted By Pinchy
Dial M for Murder One Flew Over the Cuckoos...

Dial M for Murder
One Flew Over the Cuckoos Nest
A Matter of Life and Death
12 Angry Men
Forum: General Chat 21 Nov 20, 05:15 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 200
Posted By Pinchy
"Can you reach up to the top shelf for me?" ...

"Can you reach up to the top shelf for me?"

"Okay, no problem."
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 19 Nov 20, 08:11 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 559
Posted By Pinchy
Oxford vaccine shows 'encouraging' immune response in older adults

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54993652

More good news.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 18 Nov 20, 10:31 PM
Replies: 289
Views: 22,175
Posted By Pinchy
We usually have a big family meet over Christmas...

We usually have a big family meet over Christmas. 30+ people. Every year 1 or 2 have a cold. That's a coronavirus.

Bloody silly idea.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 18 Nov 20, 12:27 AM
Replies: 74
Views: 3,620
Posted By Pinchy
The government are not smart enough and too slow...

The government are not smart enough and too slow at local and national level. T&t will only be able to keep the lid on infection if the rates are already very low. A Tier system is great in theory...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 05:11 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
I think we've found patient zero, a brickie from...

I think we've found patient zero, a brickie from Dorchester:

https://www.thedibb.co.uk/postImages/18247/89ed4c64ff161c.jpg
...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 04:49 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
Similar rise in my General. I'm lazy so I...

Similar rise in my General.

I'm lazy so I like to drag this across the last week to see how the spread is coming along.

https://www.covidlive.co.uk/

Going up everywhere again.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 03:44 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 3,895
Posted By Pinchy
Yes you are right but I was commenting on "over...

Yes you are right but I was commenting on "over reporting positives" which implies testing the same cohort.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 03:14 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 3,895
Posted By Pinchy
I think you might want to look at your math...

I think you might want to look at your math again.

Anyway I think we already knew that the LFT missed a majority of cases didn't we?

PCR is the gold standard.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 01:12 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,742
Posted By Pinchy
I don't know but ever since Enron I've always...

I don't know but ever since Enron I've always been a bit skeptical about gushing reports like this.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 12:39 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
This is a good lesson but how many times must we...

This is a good lesson but how many times must we sit through it before we learn to be proactive. 3rd wave, 4th wave? I know we have a great seafaring tradition but we are already taking on water and...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 12:35 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
Given Boris' attitude to social distancing of...

Given Boris' attitude to social distancing of late (didn't he nearly die from Covid - oh well whatever doesn't kill you eh?) I fear that we are going to have a moratorium on measures for Christmas...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 12:24 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
The government illustrations of exponential...

The government illustrations of exponential growth don't tend to end well.

When we come out of lockdown what I want to see is Whitty or Valence explaining how we have spent a month halving the...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 17 Nov 20, 12:18 PM
Replies: 1,981
Views: 119,700
Posted By Pinchy
No I didn't. But I certainly knew that pandemics...

No I didn't. But I certainly knew that pandemics were a very real threat. You just don't think it will be in your time.

I expected a worse second wave so now the numbers won't be shocking, just...
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