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Search: Posts Made By: robrar
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 09:49 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 3,272
Posted By robrar
It is great news, and I'd say it is confirming...

It is great news, and I'd say it is confirming what we know from the trials rather than coming as a complete surprise. All very, very encouraging.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 08:02 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 262
Posted By robrar
Have you been through the screening process? I'm...

Have you been through the screening process? I'm on the Oxford trial and the screening process for me was lots of questions about medical history (nothing too detailed), a very quick medical...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 07:45 PM
Replies: 233
Views: 10,987
Posted By robrar
Absolutely no need for apologies. Everyone has...

Absolutely no need for apologies. Everyone has better days and worse days, and losing a much loved pet is a terrible experience at the best of times, which we most certainly aren't in at the moment...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 07:33 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 3,272
Posted By robrar
First trends from the Zoe Covid Symptom Study app...

First trends from the Zoe Covid Symptom Study app looking at vaccination. A couple of key points:
- No protection from vaccination for the first 14 days after Dose 1, but then some indication of a...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 04:33 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 3,272
Posted By robrar
The Oxford and Pfizer teams have both expressed...

The Oxford and Pfizer teams have both expressed confidence that their vaccines are effective against the UK variant. I'm not sure if they have yet made the same statements about the South African...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 03:26 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
I believe nobody in the Moderna vaccine group was...

I believe nobody in the Moderna vaccine group was hospitalised, and one in the Pfizer vaccine group was hospitalised.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 02:42 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
The Phase 3 trials for the Oxford/AZ, Pfizer and...

The Phase 3 trials for the Oxford/AZ, Pfizer and Moderna were all assessed against 'endpoints', particular outcomes as a result of vaccination. The primary endpoint was the number of volunteers in...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 02:31 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
Yes, the reduction in asymptomatic transmission...

Yes, the reduction in asymptomatic transmission is a major factor, and if that starts to happen within two or three weeks of the first dose it's going to start to have a very quick effect. Although...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 02:12 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
Yes, definitely the possibility. But if...

Yes, definitely the possibility. But if vaccination of a sufficient number of the population means that ongoing high levels of transmission simply means relatively large numbers mostly having an...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 02:03 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
But how do you know that the vaccine doesn't...

But how do you know that the vaccine doesn't provide equal protection against transmission for both old and new variants?
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 02:02 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
Worth reminding ourselves that the primary...

Worth reminding ourselves that the primary endpoint which all the vaccines were tested against was efficacy against developing Covid symptoms which resulted in a positive PCR test. On that measure...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 01:56 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
Yes, that's correct. And at a population level...

Yes, that's correct. And at a population level that's going to make a huge difference to driving down the rate of transmission, which is brilliant news. But unfortunately we are all especially...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 01:25 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
There's evidence that a vaccinated person can get...

There's evidence that a vaccinated person can get infected. I don't know if there is any evidence (such as documented cases studies) that they can infect someone they live with, but I think there...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 01:17 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,415
Posted By robrar
This is the key point. Every medication we take...

This is the key point. Every medication we take carries some risk, which for the vast majority of people is a vanishingly small risk. That risk is almost always very much smaller than the risks...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 01:11 PM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
The chances of an identical mutation are slim,...

The chances of an identical mutation are slim, but the chances of mutations which are similar enough to have the same kind of impact on transmissibility or severity are easily possibility. For...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 01:08 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 3,272
Posted By robrar
Terrific to hear such good news from the front...

Terrific to hear such good news from the front line. Thank you for your hard work. Every day you are saving lives, every day is one day closer to getting us back to normal.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 11:20 AM
Replies: 2,876
Views: 197,208
Posted By robrar
I agree, and I think that's all that is necessary...

I agree, and I think that's all that is necessary to make a return to near normality. All the 'first wave' vaccines have demonstrated excellent efficacy against serious illness, and that nows seems...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 10:43 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 3,272
Posted By robrar
Towards the end of that discussion Croxford...

Towards the end of that discussion Croxford describes the conditions necessary for ensuring "this thing is all over by the end of 2021", mentioning 50% efficacy for stopping asymptomatic...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 10:23 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 3,272
Posted By robrar
Latest news from Isreal: Israeli Vaccination...

Latest news from Isreal: Israeli Vaccination Drive Curbing Infection and Hospitalization...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 10:15 AM
Replies: 120
Views: 9,879
Posted By robrar
When I had my jabs last year I was advised to...

When I had my jabs last year I was advised to take the recommended dose of paracetemol, starting from when I got home, a couple of hours after being vaccinated. They said do that for 24 hours after...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 09:58 AM
Replies: 233
Views: 10,987
Posted By robrar
I'm so sorry to hear the challenges you face,...

I'm so sorry to hear the challenges you face, especially the loss of a much loved pet which can be a terrible event to recover from.

I would urge you to look beyond the Dibb for additional...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Today, 09:52 AM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
I've been watching some of the Prada Cup sailing...

I've been watching some of the Prada Cup sailing from Auckland over the last few days - pretty much life as normal. I have a bunch of ski buddies out there, all report life as normal. My girlfriend...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 08:47 PM
Replies: 100
Views: 8,902
Posted By robrar
My condolences. This is a terrible disease.

My condolences. This is a terrible disease.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 08:42 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
The 'UK variant' has a relatively large number of...

The 'UK variant' has a relatively large number of mutations compared to most variants and I read some speculation that this might have been caused by a single individual who was ill with severe Covid...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 07:29 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
That's a very good point. The more people who...

That's a very good point. The more people who are infected, regardless of where in the world they are, the greater the chance of a dangerous new variant emerging.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 07:26 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
If you have any concerns about my post, please...

If you have any concerns about my post, please report it to the moderators in the usual way. It would be interesting to see if disagreement with what someone is saying is not allowed on this forum.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 04:10 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
I'm sorry to hear that, and I can quite...

I'm sorry to hear that, and I can quite understand why having read this section of the Dibb this morning. There's a constant stream of posts painting the bleakest of pictures which I think is...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 04:06 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
Are any of those people in government who will...

Are any of those people in government who will actually decide these things?

It's just whipping up fears.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 03:57 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
That's up to you, but I think you are making...

That's up to you, but I think you are making other people paranoid as well, and that I think is out of order. Quoting Dianne Abbott and Richard Burgon as evidence of the move to Zero Covid is...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 03:39 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
It really isn't, and I think you should reflect...

It really isn't, and I think you should reflect on the extent you are promulgating fake information which is clearly alarming people on this forum.

The very worst kind of social media post.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 03:35 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 4,339
Posted By robrar
That was an approximate figure mentioned by...

That was an approximate figure mentioned by Andrew Pollard (Director of the Jenner Institute) in a presentation I heard earlier this week. I think it's a decent enough ball park figure to use.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 01:41 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
To be honest, I don't and probably not wise for...

To be honest, I don't and probably not wise for me to speculate. The reference to around 50% was a passing comment I heard this week by Andrew Pollard, Head of the Jenner Institute where the Oxford...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 01:28 PM
Replies: 173
Views: 7,239
Posted By robrar
The Pfizer and Moderna trial did not test for the...

The Pfizer and Moderna trial did not test for the extent to which their vaccines inhibit transmission as they did not test to see if any of their volunteers developed an asymptomatic Covid infection...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 09:51 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 3,047
Posted By robrar
What sort of readings do you get with that?...

What sort of readings do you get with that? Oximeters built in to phones or watches use a different technique to measure the blood oxygen saturation compared to the ‘clip on your finger’ oximeter...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 09:46 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 3,047
Posted By robrar
Excellent post.

Excellent post.
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum Yesterday, 09:29 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 1,048
Posted By robrar
There will be research in to how long immunity...

There will be research in to how long immunity lasts, and then a judgement will be made about whether it is necessary it is necessary to have booster vaccines, and if so how frequently that needs to...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 23 Jan 21, 07:54 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 3,642
Posted By robrar
Which is why I cited ludicrous examples like...

Which is why I cited ludicrous examples like left-handedness or cycling. Absolutely zero plausible theory why these things might be at risk from the vaccines, so there was no need to test for them...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 23 Jan 21, 07:47 PM
Replies: 259
Views: 13,927
Posted By robrar
Most excellent news :grin:

Most excellent news :grin:
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 23 Jan 21, 07:39 PM
Replies: 259
Views: 13,927
Posted By robrar
That would be great :grin: But at the very...

That would be great :grin:

But at the very least none of us should post as if it's a real option unless we think there's a likelihood it's going to happen. That's the way fears are spread,...
Forum: Current Virus Issue Forum 23 Jan 21, 07:32 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 3,642
Posted By robrar
Thank you, that's very kind. She's doing OK, and...

Thank you, that's very kind. She's doing OK, and so far the tumour is not growing any more so they are trying to avoid an operation (as this will leave her with a hole in her eyesight). She...
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