Crowd calendars August.

Bertiebear · 27 Jan 18, 10:59 AM

We went April/May 2016. This year we are going August 9th-25th. I’ve looked at the Dibb and other guides. They seem to be conflicting.

should I stick with TP or does it need a different take on it due to the month. We are offsite. Thanks

just to add booking onsite for first night for 60 fast pass booking

Nimbus · 27 Jan 18, 01:03 PM

Just choose whichever crowd calendar you prefer and use that.

Each one uses a different set of rules; some rules are similar between the different calendars and some are different. Hence they will all make different guesses and have different recommendations. None will be 100% correct - and determining which is more correct than the others is practically impossible anyway because its all subjective (I’ve seen people here on the DIBB visit the same park on the same day and some said it was reasonably quiet whilst others have said it was busy).

Obviously, here on the DIBB we think the DIBB’s busy day guide is the best.

But use TP’s if you have found theirs worked well for you in the past.

YorkshireT · 27 Jan 18, 01:09 PM

The problem is the crowds have changed substantially. Summer is no longer as busy as it once was. Other times have got much busier (October for example) , then crowds have gone up substantially anyway. Then you have new attraction add ons, changing it up. For example will Toy Story bring a massive increase in numbers? As Star Wars nears, will people hold off, lowering crowds? Predictive analytics can only work on past data trends and assumptions as to future data, but when things change a lot it can become way less predictable.
Where TP does really help is how it puts the attractions in most efficient order to visit.
I hadn't realised until recently that Dibb also has some good planning tools and also seems to get park hours correct early.

Bertiebear · 27 Jan 18, 01:48 PM

Thank you.

Nimbus · 27 Jan 18, 02:48 PM

Originally Posted by YorkshireT

The problem is the crowds have changed substantially. Summer is no longer as busy as it once was. Other times have got much busier (October for example) , then crowds have gone up substantially anyway. Then you have new attraction add ons, changing it up. For example will Toy Story bring a massive increase in numbers? As Star Wars nears, will people hold off, lowering crowds? Predictive analytics can only work on past data trends and assumptions as to future data, but when things change a lot it can become way less predictable.
Where TP does really help is how it puts the attractions in most efficient order to visit.
I hadn't realised until recently that Dibb also has some good planning tools and also seems to get park hours correct early.

Just to clarify that the Dibb’s busy day guide does not predict crowd levels. It just says which park to visit on which day and tells you nothing about how busy the parks will be.

Other guides and crowd calendars may do things differently. Most of them tend to normalise their crowd level numbers from year to year. Therefore a crowd level of “9” in 2018 will not be the same as a level of “9” back in, say, 2008. Some may even normalise from season to season (I believe TP used to do this) so that a “9” at Christmas is not the same as a “9” in September.