Prediction on US holidays this year...

[Floridatilly]

I am interested in your thoughts on the chances of US (holiday) travel this year. Obviously its all guess work and no one knows but I like knowing where peoples thoughts are. I have friends going in October & December. Our July one us up in the air but I still like to know our chances.
So what do you all think is the percentage of holidays in the US starting with with May?

My humble opinion
May 20%
June 30%
July 45%
August 65%
September. 80%
October 90%
November 98%
December 98%

[megaflyer]

I agree with your assessment on the whole (well maybe May at 10%) but it all could change several times over as we go forward - if there is a spike after this relaxation then who knows but the more people get the second jab and test themselves as a matter of routine (I started yet refuse with a bumper box of kits free from NHS) then the better

[Dr.JumbaJookiba]

Looking at MCO's website I think May is zero. All the other months I agree with your estimates.

[Pino_Spetzberg]

Foreign policy blunders and civil unrest notwithstanding we should be all set by Summer, as regards the pandemic at least.
Canada may be in worse position than US.
Hoped to go to Montreal for F1 but looking unlikely, race is being replaced by Turkey anyway, maybe.
Best to think positive and hope for the best.

[RM2016]

I feel May is a touch too soon however June to September the chances are very high, above 75% however I feel in the UK as we go towards winter things may be cautious again in this country.

[HappyHaunt13]

May 0%
June 85%
July 90%
Aug 95%
Oct, Nov and Dec 100%

[Pinchy]

August is the best bet. After that uncertain because of a winter resurgence in cases.

[Moorlandman]

Originally Posted by Pinchy

August is the best bet. After that uncertain because of a winter resurgence in cases.

See more...

I agree, late summer has to be the most likely option now

[Claudette]

I think May is zero and June not much higher, maybe 10%. Start to increase from there up to a maximum of 80% by Nov / Dec.

[MarkUK]

May and June out the question IMO.
Late August I would have thought if we are lucky. Personally though, it wouldn’t surprise me if President Biden doesn’t open up at all this year. The pandemic isn’t over yet.